Every few days the crypto world produces an exciting gambling trend that young people can’t miss. This week, somehow, that can’t-miss betting opportunity turned out to be predicting the exact words and phrases that Donald Trump would utter.
This oddly specific game first came to life on Monday when the former president sat down for a two-hour Twitter Spaces interview with Elon Musk. Perhaps because the two celebrities have such a large presence in the cryptocurrency world, some intrepid PolyMarket users decided to create a betting pool to see what topics would come up in their conversation.
While many bettors seemed pretty confident that Trump would bring up some of the buzzwords like MAGA, Tesla and censorship, cryptocurrency was one of the top betting choices with odds of 63% just hours before the interview began.
What will Trump say in tonight’s interview with Elon Musk?
MAGA • 74% probability
Cryptocurrency • 63%
Trans • 41%
Civil War • 27%
Tampons • 20%
Illegal immigrants: 66%
Tesla • 79%
Mars • 34%
Censored • 68%
Strange • 42%
— Polymarket (@Polymarket) August 12, 2024
That night, degens around the world eagerly tuned into Musk’s space, hanging on to Trump’s every word in a unique, high-stakes game of bingo. In all, Polymarket users bet roughly $5 million on the conversation.
Of course, in typical Crypto Twitter fashion, Spaces was mostly sturdy; it took an invisible army of anxious X-employees about 35 minutes to get it working.
After a two-hour conversation, relations were finally mended and Trump covered many topics, but never mentioned cryptocurrency once. Some vulgar people were no doubt taken aback.
The word “tampon” turned out to be the night’s biggest winner. Trump brought it up because of his obsession with a Minnesota school feminine hygiene product law signed by Kamala Harris’ running mate, Tim Walz. The word’s winning margin went from about 7% to a landslide victory for PolyMarket’s self-described “Tampon Brothers.”
But the “Trump Bingo” craze didn’t end with Musk’s interview. A few days later, millions of dollars were again being wagered on guessing what the presidential candidate would say at his news conference on Thursday.
President Trump’s press conference will begin at 4:30 p.m. ET.
Here’s a guess at what he’ll say:
Elon • 74% chance
Discussion • 92%
Layoffs • 45%
Illegal immigrants • 80%
Cryptocurrency • 16%
MAGA • 78%
China • 72%
Bitcoin • 15%
Tampons • 32%
Artificial Intelligence • 25%
Fake News • 54%
Lisp • 9%
Sofa • 6%
— Polymarket (@Polymarket) August 15, 2024
But this time around, DeGeneres appears to have learned a lesson about her own importance: “Cipher” was mentioned just 16% of the time.
Once again, Trump didn’t mention the tampon industry once, while the “Tampon Brothers” scored another win.
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